Germanwings co-pilot Andreas Lubitz was treated for suicidal tendencies

In this Sunday, Sept. 13, 2009 photo Andreas Lubitz competes at the Airportrun in Hamburg, northern Germany. In this Sunday, Sept. 13, 2009 photo Andreas Lubitz competes at the Airportrun in Hamburg, northern Germany. ( Source: AP)

How could someone once diagnosed with suicidal tendencies get a job as a commercial pilot, entrusted with the lives of hundreds of people? That’s the question being asked after officials confirmed Monday that Germanwings co-pilot Andreas Lubitz received lengthy psychotherapy before receiving his pilot’s license.

All 150 people on board were killed by what prosecutors believe was a deliberate decision by Lubitz to slam the Airbus A320 he was flying from Barcelona to Duesseldorf into a mountain in the French Alps last Tuesday.

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Lufthansa, Germanwings’ parent company, declined to say whether it knew of Lubitz’s mental health problems. But it said the young pilot had passed all required medical checks since starting work for its subsidiary two years ago. Prosecutors in Duesseldorf, where Lubitz had an apartment, said the psychotherapy occurred over an extended period before he received his pilot’s license, and that medical records referred to “suicidal tendencies.” They provided no dates.

Lubitz started pilot training in 2008, though it’s unclear when he finished the at least three-year-long course and received his license. Lufthansa said he was certified to fly their aircraft in 2013.

The country’s aviation authority wouldn’t comment on Lubitz’s health, despite acknowledging last week that his record with the agency noted he needed “specific regular medical examination” beyond the annual checkup required of all pilots. “The German Federal Aviation Office isn’t directly responsible for assessing the air-medical fitness of pilots,” said Cornelia Cramer, a spokeswoman for the agency, which is in charge of granting pilots’ licenses. Cramer said the medical checks are conducted by specially trained doctors, but declined to say whether their findings are passed on to the agency.

The head of the German Aviation Medical Practitioners Association, the organization representing doctors who determine if pilots are medically fit to fly, said the standard medical evaluation would not have been able to determine if a pilot suffered from a serious mental illness.

All pilots must undergo regular medical checks that include a cursory psychological evaluation, according to Dr. Hans-Werner Teichmueller, the agency’s head. But such tests rely on patients being honest with their doctors, and even a seriously mentally unstable person would have been able to put a “mask” on for the investigation, he said. “You can’t see anything beyond the face,” Teichmueller said. “We have developed a very refined system in Europe and most of us are in agreement that this system is optimal. If we were to add more psychological tests or modify the way we test, then we can still not change a situation like this.”

Lubitz continued to visit doctors until recently, receiving notes that excused him from work _ including for the day of the crash _ but none referred to suicidal tendencies or aggression toward others, said prosecutors’ spokesman

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Another Saudi-led airstrikes hit Houthi militia targets in Yemen

A group of pro-Islamic Turks protest against the Saudi Arabia-led coalition's military operation in Yemen, in Ankara, Turkey, Sunday, March 29, 2015.  (Source: AP) A group of pro-Islamic Turks protest against the Saudi Arabia-led coalition's military operation in Yemen, in Ankara, Turkey, Sunday, March 29, 2015. (Source: AP)

Air raids by a Saudi-led coalition again hit Houthi militia targets across Yemen on Monday night, striking the group’s northern stronghold of Saadeh, the capital, Sanaa, and the central town of Yarim, residents and media said. “There were huge blazes in the mountains outside Sanaa. It looks like they hit a missile depot and it was on fire for half an hour or so. Then there was anti-aircraft fire until dawn,” a Sanaa resident said.

The strikes, which began on Thursday, are aimed at stopping the Houthis from taking more territory and pressing them and former president Ali Abdullah Saleh to negotiate a power-sharing deal with President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi.

The Houthis are from a Yemeni Shi’ite sect and are allied to Iran, Saudi Arabia’s main regional rival. The Saudis and other Sunni Muslim countries in the region fear the advance of the Houthis will ultimately threaten the world’s top oil exporter. However, the Houthis and forces loyal to Saleh have continued to advance on the southern port of Aden, the last big centre still under control of Hadi, who left Yemen on Thursday and is now in Riyadh with other members of his government.

Shooting continued in Aden during the night, a Reuters reporter said. If the Houthis took the city, it would represent a significant defeat for the Saudi-led coalition, which has repeatedly said protecting the presence of Hadi’s government there is a major objective.

An air strike on Monday killed at least 40 people at a camp for displaced people in northern Yemen, humanitarian workers said, in an attack apparently aimed at the Houthis. Saudi Arabia’s military spokesman said he could not confirm a camp had been hit, but said jets might have returned fire on anti-aircraft weapons placed in civilian areas. Hadi’s foreign minister, Riyadh Yassin, blamed Houthis for the explosion.

Qatar-based Al Jazeera television reported air raids at an army camp in Saadeh, while Saudi-owned Al Arabiya reported raids on the Red Sea port of Hudaida. A Sanaa resident said strikes had also hit Sanaa’s international airport.

Beirut-based al-Maseerah television, which is linked to the Houthis, reported that raids struck a gas plant in the central town of Yarim, killing eight people and wounding another 28.
In Riyadh, the campaign’s spokesman, Brigadier General Ahmed Asseri, on Monday showed footage of air strikes hitting what he said were Yemeni army tanks under Houthi control as well as arms depots he said were held by the militia.

A U.S. official said the Saudis had shown little appetite for a ground invasion if it

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Lufthansa knew of co-pilot’s previous ‘severe depression’ in 2009

The co-pilot who crashed Flight 9525 into a French mountainside last week had informed the German carrier Lufthansa in 2009 about a “previous episode of severe depression,” the airline said on Tuesday, raising fresh questions about the series of decisions that allowed Andreas Lubitz to stay in the skies.

The admission that the company knew at least some of the history of Lubitz’s mental illness came after the company’s chief executive, Carsten Spohr, said publicly last week that Lufthansa — parent of the budget airline Germanwings for which Lubitz worked — had no previous knowledge of his medical history.

In a statement Tuesday, however, the carrier said it wanted to issue a “swift and seamless clarification.” In 2009, Lubitz had taken several months off during his training to become a pilot. When he resumed the program, Lufthansa said, he provided the airline “medical documents” that noted .

[]

The company said it had forwarded those documents to prosecutors who are now handling the crash as a homicide case.

Under European aviation law, pilots with active and untreated cases of depression are prevented from flying. But if deemed medically cured, there may have been no legal impediment for Lubitz to continue his training and obtain his license, experts say.

However, pilots who have attempted “a single self-destructive act” — such as suicide — are legally barred from commercial flying. Also, pilots who are taking psychotropic medications — such as popular antidepressants — as part of their therapy, for instance, have some limitations, including a stipulation that they not be alone in the cockpit.

German prosecutors said Monday that Lubitz had suffered from “suicidal tendencies” for which he was treated over an extended period. The prosecutors said that the treatment occurred before he was issued a pilot’s license and that they had found no indications that he was recently suicidal.

But Germany authorities have said that he had been issued multiple doctors’ notes judging him unfit to work, including one covering the day of the plane crash. At least one of the notes was found torn up in his apartment.

The system depends on employees reporting their own medical conditions to their employers, and Lufthansa has said that it was not aware of the recent medical problems.

An official familiar with the investigation said Tuesday that authorities were not examining the Lufthansa Group for any negligence. Lufthansa provided investigators with information about Lubitz’s airline medical examinations and copies of previous correspondence with the airline, the official said. But since the depressive episode occurred in 2009, the official said that investigators did not believe Lufthansa was immediately culpable.

During Lubitz’s employment with Germanwings, starting in 2013, his medical certificates and examinations declared him flightworthy.

[]

A Lufthansa spokeswoman said that the company had graduated him from its rigorous flight school, despite the previous depressive episode, because following medical checks “he was perceived to be healed.”

“At any time he was flying, he was declared fit to fly,” the spokeswoman said, who spoke on the condition that her name not be used, a German custom.

When asked whether Lufthansa had known about any subsequent psychological condition, she said: “Not that we are aware of.”

Germany’s medical examinations for pilots give a yes-or-no answer to employers about whether aviators are ready to fly, offering no space for additional information or caveats. Officials familiar with the investigation have said that one working theory is that Lubitz was concerned about losing his medical certificate when it came up for renewal later this year.

Michael Müller, chief executive of ATTC, a company that helps prepare pilot candidates for entering flight schools, including Lufthansa’s, defended the carrier’s track record. He said he was aware of at least one instance, for example, when the company had pulled a pilot from the cockpit after his ex-wife had committed suicide.

“I’m afraid it will never be possible to prevent these things from happening entirely,” he said. “In my view, Lufthansa did not fail. When a doctor says someone is healthy and he is certifying this, then he is allowed to fly. In a pilot’s career, it can happen that you get ill, also psychologically. You can’t simply say, ‘We’ll let him go.’ ”

The Lufthansa Group has already offered $53,635 to families of every victim to cover immediate living expenses. The new revelation was likely to open the airline to far greater damages. A Lufthansa spokesman said Tuesday that its insurer, Allianz, had set aside $300 million to pay for liability claims from victims’ families.

French President François Hollande visited German Chancellor Angela Merkel in Berlin on Tuesday, where the two discussed the ongoing investigation into the catastrophe alongside a range of other issues.

Hollande called for bolstering the checks on pilots over European skies, saying that he was working toward “ensuring that we can strengthen our safety rules for piloting these aircraft.”

He said that more than 800 people were laboring at the mountain crash site to push the investigation forward as quickly as possible.

Separately, a French aviation investigation agency said Tuesday that it had begun a study of “systemic weaknesses” that may have led to the crash. The French Bureau of Investigations and Analyses for Civil Aviation Security said it would focus on the procedures used “to detect psychological profiles,” as well as look at cockpit safety rules.

German investigators offered few new details about the status of their inquiry on Tuesday. One official familiar with the investigation said that the initial questioning of Lubitz’s family and girlfriend had been completed but that investigators remained in contact with them as new issues arose.

The official said that neither Lubitz’s parents nor his girlfriend were aware of any suicidal impulses ahead of the plane crash.

Birnbaum reported from Düsseldorf.

Anthony Faiola is The Post's Berlin bureau chief. Faiola joined the Post in 1994, since then reporting for the paper from six continents and serving as bureau chief in Tokyo, Buenos Aires, New York and London.
Michael Birnbaum is The Post’s Moscow bureau chief. He previously served as the Berlin correspondent and an education reporter.
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Iraq’s former leader still looms large months after his ouster

Inside the walls of his shaded villa in the heart of Baghdad’s fortified Green Zone, Nouri al-Maliki still greets his visitors in the same marble-floored office where he worked for eight years as prime minister.

As one of the country’s three vice presidents, he now holds a largely ceremonial position in the government of his successor, .

But whether Maliki has given up his quest for power is increasingly in question as he sets about widely publicized battlefield tours, meetings with tribal elders and visits abroad.

[]

In an interview at his villa, he denied desire to reclaim his former position and pledged support for Abadi, who six months into the job is attempting to quell the chaos convulsing Iraq. Maliki has been widely blamed for much of it, with his failure to reach out to Sunnis and his policies, widely seen as sectarian.

But he does not rule out that he could one day return.

“Based on my popular support base, which still exists and is strong, it’s possible,” he said, indicating that he is setting his sights on Iraq’s next election, due in 2018.

“Legally and constitutionally, it’s possible,” he said. “But it’s the Iraqi people’s choice.”

Maliki’s looming presence poses a challenge for Abadi as he attempts to win back ground from and repair rifts with Iraq’s Sunnis and Kurds. It comes as an has highlighted the premier’s lack of control over the Shiite volunteers and militias that are leading the fight.

Maliki “still has a role, and he’s not finished,” said Mowaffak al-Rubaie, a lawmaker from the former prime minister’s State of Law bloc.

A Western diplomat based in the region said there are deep concerns about what Maliki may be up to and little doubt that he is trying to undermine Abadi. “He’s irredeemable,” the diplomat said, speaking on the condition of anonymity.

Maliki appears to wield influence over more members of parliament than Abadi and seems to have more support in the security institutions, the diplomat said.

On a March trip to a town near Tikrit where fighters had driven out Islamic State militants, Maliki greeted the forces as if he were still in power.

Since leaving office, he has become a particular champion of the legions of largely Shiite volunteers and militias known as the “popular mobilization” units — many of which answered a to sign up to fight.

“I established it in my time,” Maliki said of the force that was mustered in the dying days of his leadership. “And they feel very close to me, or may be loyal to me. Therefore, I keep working with them and supporting them and pushing them to fight.”

Not everyone believes that Maliki can make a comeback.

“He had a big failure in administering the country,” said Izzat Shahbandar, a former lawmaker from the State of Law coalition, who remains friends with Maliki. “There is no Iraqi power, Sunni, Shia or anyone else who will support him."

But Maliki clearly has support in his party, Dawa. Maliki is senior to Abadi in the party, holding the title of secretary general. Some Dawa members mockingly refer to Abadi as “the traffic warden,” suggesting that although he runs the government, his actual power is in question.

Maliki and Abadi have drastically different ruling styles, perhaps rooted in their disparate experiences of exile during the rule of Saddam Hussein. While Abadi, an English speaker who worked as an electrical engineer in Britain, is seen as cozy with the West, Maliki whose U.S. backing fell away in the final years of his rule, is closer to Iran, where he lived for seven years.

[]

On billboards around Baghdad, Maliki’s pictures still loom large. Abadi, in contrast, has ordered that no posters of him be displayed, in an attempt to break with the country’s tradition of personality cults.

When Maliki ventures from the Green Zone, he does so in a big convoy of armored SUVs. Abadi won plaudits for publicly visiting a shrine in Baghdad accompanied by only two bodyguards. While Abadi shuns honorifics, Maliki has dubbed himself “first vice president” — though in the past there’s been no differentiation between the three.

The rivalry between Maliki and Abadi is thinly veiled.

“What he’s doing is what’s possible — not the ambition that is required, but what’s possible,” Maliki said pointedly of Abadi’s progress. He added, though, that his successor is constrained by the country’s shaky finances and fragile security.

Maliki is quick to point out what he sees as flaws in Abadi’s policies. For example, he criticized Abadi’s proposal for a national guard, a new system of localized forces that would be a cornerstone of the country’s security policy: “I’m the one who suggested it, but not in the way it has developed recently. It’s become a danger to national unity,” Maliki said.

The competition has sparked rumors of splits within the Dawa party.

“There are people close to Nouri al-Maliki who are trying to make some problems, talking against Haider al-Abadi,” concedes Ali Alaq, a senior Dawa member, though he dismissed the notion of a rift. “Nouri al-Maliki says he has nothing to do with them.”

In his home in the upscale Baghdad neighborhood of Mansour, Maliki ally Saad al-Muttalibi is less than flattering about the new leader, though he claims that Abadi is an old friend.

“Mr. Abadi isn’t as hands-on as Maliki,” said Muttalibi, a member of the Baghdad provincial council. “I don’t know if he’s trying to show himself as a technocrat, or if it’s just inability.” Members of parliament are rallying to support Maliki, he said.

Maliki, known for his unrelenting work ethic, has kept up a hectic schedule since leaving power.

When Abadi made his first visit to Iran last year, Maliki followed a few weeks later, also meeting with the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Maliki said Iraq’s relationships with Iran and the United States were once “balanced,” but he claimed that had changed since the United States failed to fulfil a security agreement signed by the George W. Bush administration under which the United States pledged to defend Iraq’s democracy and territorial integrity.

“We have an agreement and we asked them, we asked them to bomb with their planes, we asked for more weapons from them to face the developed weapons that [Islamic State] has, but we don’t know why they didn’t respond,” he said.

U.S. officials conditioned their approval of airstrikes on , saying a new leader was essential if Iraq was to overcome the that had fueled the Islamic State’s rise.

Maliki said the decision last summer was “illegal” after his party won the highest proportion of votes.

Still, “today we have to cooperate in the process of building the country and facing the challenges,” he said. “Therefore, I’m keen for this government to succeed.”

That feeling of betrayal may be spurring him to launch a comeback, however, and with Iran playing a powerful role in Iraq, it is Maliki who stands to gain.

Abadi is not a natural ally of Iran, which initially blocked his nomination for the premiership in a country where Tehran wields significant influence.

Hamid al-Mutlaq, a Sunni member of parliament’s defense and security committee, said Iran is now trying to undermine Abadi.

“Iran has a lot of power in Iraq," he said. “They make problems when someone is not obeying them, and one of their soldiers is Maliki.”

Whether Maliki can, in fact, make a comeback is an intense subject of speculation.

Shahbandar said Maliki is finished.

Asked why it is that Maliki then believes he can return to power, Shahbandar chuckled, “Saddam Hussein is dead, and even he believes he can make a comeback.”

“This is what power does to you,” he added.

Mustafa Salim contributed to this report.

Loveday Morris is a Beirut-based correspondent for The Post. She has previously covered the Middle East for The National, based in Abu Dhabi, and for the Independent, based in London and Beirut.
Liz Sly is the Post’s Beirut bureau chief. She has spent more than 15 years covering the Middle East, including the Iraq war. Other postings include Africa, China and Afghanistan.
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Islamic State’s Grip on City Appears Firmer Than Iraqis Acknowledge

TIKRIT, Iraq — Iraqi officials insisted for weeks that Islamic State fighters had been all but exterminated in Tikrit, confined to a few pockets in the city center. Yet on Sunday, military officials in the city were reluctant to allow journalists to head back to Baghdad by road — even though the highway skirts Tikrit well to the west.

The supposed safer alternative was a general’s Iraqi Air Force Cessna waiting at the Tikrit Air Base nine miles northwest of downtown. But before takeoff, two mortar shells slammed into a grassy patch between the airfield’s two runways, within 100 yards of the small plane. Iraqi military escorts surmised that the person shooting had to have been within visual range — and probably to the west, although downtown was southeast.

“Daesh are everywhere,” one senior officer said, using the Arab nickname for the Islamic State, also known as or ISIL.

During a two-day visit to Tikrit, a strategic city in ’s central Sunni heartland, it was clear that after four weeks of the government offensive the Islamic State’s fighters are more numerous and still hold much more territory here than officials had previously allowed, even with heavy American airstrikes added in.

According to Iraqi military officials and fighters on the ground in Tikrit, still dominates or controls about 20 square miles of the city, everything from the edge of Tikrit University in the north, to the far end of the New Ouja neighborhood in the south, a distance as much as eight miles north to south. That encompasses most of the populous parts of the city, which generally lie west of the Tigris River; all of its main downtown and business districts; the government quarter and the former palace of Saddam Hussein.

Government forces remain mostly east of the Tigris, an area that is predominantly rural and agricultural, or on the suburban or rural outskirts of the city on the western and southern sides. The city’s population used to be more than a quarter million, but most residents have fled.

A visual guide to the crisis in Iraq and Syria.

The Front line Between ISIS and Iraqi Forces in Tikrit

IRAQ

Government control

Former presidential

palace

Tikrit University

Mosul

ISIS control

Tikrit

Tigris

Approximate

front line

Ouja

1

Baghdad to

Mosul Highway

Government control

Tikrit

ISIS supply route north

Surrounded ISIS militants used tunnels to evade Iraqi forces and gain access to Highway 1. The highway is a critical supply route to Mosul, ISIS’s major base in Iraq.

Baghdad

IRAQ

IRAQ

Government control

Former presidential

palace

Tikrit University

Mosul

ISIS control

Tikrit

Tigris

Approximate

front line

Ouja

1

Baghdad to

Mosul Highway

Government control

ISIS supply route north

Surrounded ISIS militants used tunnels to evade Iraqi forces and gain access to Highway 1. The highway is a critical supply route to Mosul, ISIS’s major base in Iraq.

Tikrit

Baghdad

IRAQ

Approximate

frontline

ISIS control

Gov’t

control

Mosul

Tigris

Tikrit

1

Gov’t

control

Tikrit

IRAQ

ISIS supply line north

Despite being surrounded, ISIS militants

used tunnels to evade government fighters

and access Highway 1. The highway is a

critical supply line to and from Mosul, ISIS’s

major base in Iraq.

Approximate

front line

Government

control

Mosul

ISIS control

Tigris

Tikrit

1

Government

control

Baghdad to

Mosul Highway

Tikrit

Baghdad

ISIS supply route north

Surrounded ISIS militants used tunnels to evade Iraqi forces and gain access to Highway 1. The highway is a critical supply route to Mosul, ISIS’s major base in Iraq.

IRAQ

Multiple Fronts in the Fight Against ISIS

Source: Institute for the Study of War

Turkey

Dohuk

Iran

Iraqi

Kurdistan

Mosul

Erbil

Areas under full ISIS control

Syria

Kirkuk

Sulaimaniya

Nineveh

3

Hawija

4

Iraq

1

Tikrit

Qaim

Jalawla

Sammara

Tharthar

Lake

Anbar

Area of

detail

Ramadi

Baghdad

IRAQ

2

Dohuk

Iraqi

Kurdistan

Mosul

Erbil

Areas under full ISIS control

Kirkuk

Nineveh

3

Hawija

4

Iraq

1

Tikrit

Jalawla

Sammara

Tharthar

Lake

Ramadi

Baghdad

2

Dohuk

Iran

Iraqi

Kurdistan

Mosul

Erbil

Areas under full ISIS control

Kirkuk

Sulaimaniya

Nineveh

3

Hawija

4

Iraq

1

Tikrit

Qaim

Jalawla

Sammara

Tharthar

Lake

Anbar

Ramadi

Baghdad

2

Government forces and allied militias continued to battle ISIS militants in Tikrit.

At the same time, ISIS fighters were mounting a fierce assault on Ramadi.

Kurdish and Sunni tribal fighters advanced on ISIS territory from the northern city of Kirkuk.

Residents of Hawija said that ISIS executed some of its own fighters for trying to flee as the group came under attack from Kurdish forces.

Government forces and allied militias continued to battle ISIS militants in Tikrit.

At the same time, ISIS fighters were mounting a fierce assault on Ramadi.

Kurdish and Sunni tribal fighters advanced on ISIS territory from the northern city of Kirkuk.

Residents of Hawija said that ISIS executed some of its own fighters for trying to flee as the group came under attack from Kurdish forces.

Government forces and allied militias continued to battle ISIS militants in Tikrit. At the same time, ISIS fighters were mounting a fierce assault on Ramadi. Kurdish and Sunni tribal fighters advanced on ISIS territory from the northern city of Kirkuk. Residents of Hawija said that ISIS executed some of its own fighters for trying to flee as the group came under attack from Kurdish forces.

Source: Institute for the Study of War

The Operation to Recapture Tikrit From ISIS

Source: Institute for the Study of War, Long War Journal, Iraqi government, Asa’ab Ahl al-Haq

Alam

Area of

detail

Camp Speicher

IRAQ

Tikrit

Area still

controlled

by ISIS.

Pro-Iraqi forces

took control on

March 12

Albu Ajeel

Tigris R.

Dour

5 Miles

Alam

Area of

detail

Camp Speicher

IRAQ

Tikrit

Area still

controlled

by ISIS.

Pro-Iraqi forces

took control on

March 12

Albu Ajeel

Tigris R.

5 Miles

Dour

Alam

Area of

detail

Camp Speicher

IRAQ

Tikrit

Area still

controlled

by ISIS.

Pro-Iraqi forces

took control on

March 12

Albu Ajeel

Tigris R.

5 Miles

1. On March 2, fighters approach Tikrit from the south and east, clearing villages along the way to Alam and Dour, two ISIS strongholds.

2. ISIS uses snipers, roadside bombs and other guerrilla tactics to keep pro-government forces from advancing. ISIS wired a major bridge to Tikrit from Tuz Khurmato with bombs.

3. Pro-government forces take control of Dour and Alam. As they consolidate their hold on the area, they uncover two mass graves in Albu Ajeel, believed to be the remains of soldiers massacred last summer by ISIS.

4. Pro-government forces seize large sections of Tikrit on March 10 and 11. On March 12, they take control of the western neighborhoods, leaving only the presidential palace complex and small pockets of the city center in ISIS hands.

1. On March 2, fighters approach Tikrit from the south and east, clearing villages along the way to Alam and Dour, two ISIS strongholds.

2. ISIS uses snipers, roadside bombs and other guerrilla tactics to keep pro-government forces from advancing. ISIS wired a major bridge to Tikrit from Tuz Khurmato with bombs.

3. Pro-government forces take control of Dour and Alam. As they consolidate their hold on the area, they uncover two mass graves in Albu Ajeel, believed to be the remains of soldiers massacred last summer by ISIS.

4. Pro-government forces seize large sections of Tikrit on March 10 and 11. On March 12, they take control of the western neighborhoods, leaving only the presidential palace complex and small pockets of the city center in ISIS hands.

1. On March 2, fighters approach Tikrit from the south and east, clearing villages along the way to Alam and Dour, two ISIS strongholds. 2. ISIS uses snipers, roadside bombs and other guerrilla tactics to keep pro-government forces from advancing. ISIS wired a major bridge to Tikrit from Tuz Khurmato with bombs. 3. Pro-government forces take control of Dour and Alam. As they consolidate their hold on the area, they uncover two mass graves in Albu Ajeel, believed to be the remains of soldiers massacred last summer by ISIS. 4. Pro-government forces seize large sections of Tikrit on March 10 and 11. On March 12, they take control of the western neighborhoods, leaving only the presidential palace complex and small pockets of the city center in ISIS hands.

Source: Institute for the Study of War, Long War Journal, Iraqi government, Asa’ab Ahl al-Haq

ISIS Territory Remains Larger Than Many Countries

Source: Institute for the Study of War

TURKEY

100 miles

IRAN

Hasaka

Mosul

IRAQI

KURDISTAN

Raqqa

Aleppo

ISIS support

areas

Kirkuk

Deir al-Zour

Areas under

full ISIS control

Euphrates

Tigris

LEBANON

SYRIA

IRAQ

Damascus

Baghdad

Rutba

Falluja

ISRAEL

JORDAN

100 miles

TURKEY

IRAQI

KURDISTAN

IRAN

Hasaka

Mosul

Erbil

Aleppo

Raqqa

SYRIA

IRAQ

Kirkuk

Deir al-Zour

Areas under full

ISIS control

Euphrates

Abu Kamal

Tigris

ISIS support

areas

LEBANON

Damascus

Baghdad

Rutba

Falluja

ISRAEL

JORDAN

100 miles

Mosul

Raqqa

Aleppo

IRAQI

KURDISTAN

IRAQ

SYRIA

Euphrates

Tigris

full

ISIS control

Damascus

Baghdad

Source: Institute for the Study of War

ISIS Attacks Against Assyrian Christians

Sources: Assyrian Human Rights Network, Assyrian International News Agency, Syriac Military Council

TURKEY

Area of

detail

Aleppo

Ras Al-Ayn

SYRIA

Tel Tamr

Residents reported ISIS bombed the bridge over the river on Tuesday.

Damascus

Tel Shamiram

ISIS reported to be holding about 60 women and children captive.

Tel Goran

Tel Hormizd

SYRIA

Hasaka

There are 35 Assyrian villages on the Khabur River.

5 Miles

TURKEY

SYRIA

Ras Al-Ayn

Tel Tamr

Residents reported ISIS bombed the bridge over the river on Tuesday.

Tel Shamiram

ISIS reported to be holding about 60 women and children captive.

Tel

Goran

Tel

Hormizd

There are 35 Assyrian villages on the Khabur River.

Sources: Assyrian Human Rights Network, Assyrian International News Agency, Syriac Military Council

Where the Foreign Fighters in Iraq and Syria Are Coming From

Sources: Country of origin data from Peter Neumann, King's College London; the International Center for the Study of Radicalization and Political Violence

The largest share of foreign fighters counted in the study came from Tunisia, a country with one of the more stable post-Arab Spring governments. Saudi Arabia’s share is also large, but recent government crackdowns have stanched the flow of fighters.
Decades of officially sanctioned religious persecution, ethnic conflicts and Islamic radicalization are key reasons for the flow of fighters from post-Soviet states, according to Peter Neumann, director of the I.C.S.R. Many fighters have combat experience from decades of war in the Caucasus.
The war in Syria has drawn young Europeans, many of whom have used cheap flights to Turkey as a route to Syria. Mr. Neumann noted that some small European countries like Belgium produce a remarkable number of fighters in relation to their population.
American law enforcement officials have focused not only on monitoring social media networks more aggressively, but also on educating state and local authorities about ways to identify potential travelers.

Low end of estimate range

China

300

BOSNIA

330

UzBEK.

500

PakISTAN

500

TurkM.

U.K.

500 to 600

Ger.

500 to 600

Turkey

600

Russia

800 to

1,500

France

1,200

Morocco

1,500

Tunisia

1,500 tO 3,000 FIGHTERS

CAN.

Kos.

KaZ.

SWE.

Aus.

BelgIUM

440

Tajikistan

U.S.

100 fighters

NETH.

Spain

Kyrgyzstan

UKRAINE

Jordan

1,500

Den.

Aus.

FinL.

Saudi

Arabia

1,500 to 2,500

Italy

Lebanon

900

Egypt

Libya

600

Sudan

Alg.

Isr.

Yem.

Somalia

Kuwait

North Africa and Middle East

The largest share of foreign fighters counted in the study came from Tunisia, a country with one of the more stable post-Arab Spring governments. Saudi Arabia’s share is also large, but recent government crackdowns have stanched the flow of fighters.

Morocco

1,500

Tunisia

1,500 tO 3,000 FIGHTERS

Jordan

1,500

Saudi

Arabia

1,500 to 2,500

Lebanon

900

Egypt

Libya

600

Sudan

Alg.

Isr.

Yem.

Somalia

Kuwait

Former Soviet States

Decades of officially sanctioned religious persecution, ethnic conflicts and Islamic radicalization are key reasons for the flow of fighters from post-Soviet states, according to Peter Neumann, director of the I.C.S.R. Many fighters have combat experience from decades of war in the Caucasus.

UzBEK.

500

TurkM.

Russia

800 to

1,500

KaZ.

Low end of

estimate range

Tajikistan

UKRAINE

Western Europe

The war in Syria has drawn young Europeans, many of whom have used cheap flights to Turkey as a route to Syria. Mr. Neumann noted that some small European countries like Belgium produce a remarkable number of fighters in relation to their population.

U.K.

500 to 600

Ger.

500 to 600

France

1,200

SWE.

BelgIUM

440

NETH.

Spain

Den.

Aus.

FinL.

Italy

Other regions

American law enforcement officials have focused not only on monitoring social media networks more aggressively, but also on educating state and local authorities about ways to identify potential travelers.

China

300

BOSNIA

330

PakISTAN

500

Turkey

600

CAN.

Kos.

Aus.

U.S.

100 fighters

U.K.

5-600

Ger.

5-600

UzBEK.

500

PakI.

500

BOS.

China

Turkey

600

TURKM.

Russia

800 TO

1,500

France

1,200

Morocco

1,500

Tunisia

1,500

tO 3,000

FIGHTERS

CAN.

KaZ.

SWE.

Belg.

U.S.

100

fighters

NETH.

Jordan

1,500

Low end

of estimate range

Saudi

Arabia

1,500 to

2,500

Leb.

900

Libya

Isr.

Sources: Country of origin data from Peter Neumann, King's College London; the International Center for the Study of Radicalization and Political Violence

Fallout From the Battle With ISIS for Kobani

Satellite images by DigitalGlobe via Unitar/Unosat

Sept. 6, 2014

Oct. 15

200 feet

damaged

buildings

CRATER

damaged

buildings

Destruction in Kobani Damage in the eastern part of the city. Several buildings appear to be destroyed or heavily damaged.

Sept. 6, 2014

Oct. 15

200 FEET

Turkey

ground

Carved out

for car

storage

border

crossing

syria

Border Crossing Hundreds of vehicles clustered around a border crossing point on the Syrian side of the border.

Sept. 6, 2014

Oct. 15

200 feet

Refugee

Camp

Refugee Camp Over the border in Turkey, a camp has been created for the increasing numbers of refugees fleeing the violence.

Sept. 6, 2014

Oct. 15

200 feet

damaged

buildings

CRATER

damaged

buildings

Destruction in Kobani Damage in the eastern part of the city. Several buildings appear to be destroyed or heavily damaged.

Satellite images by DigitalGlobe via Unitar/Unosat

ISIS Solidifies Control of Anbar Province

Source: Institute for the Study of War

Rawa

Area of

detail

Ana

IRAQ

Haditha

Samarra

Barwana

Tharthar

Lake

Al-Asad air base

Hit

Kubaysa

ISIS

Iraqi government

Contested

Captured or contested since Sept. 1

Baghdad

Ramadi

Falluja

Area of

detail

Haditha

IRAQ

Tharthar

Lake

Al-Asad air base

Hit

Kubaysa

ISIS

Iraqi government

Contested

Captured or contested since Sept. 1

Ramadi

Falluja

Iraqi soldiers, supported by local Sunni tribes and U.S. airstrikes, fought ISIS militants and succeeded in driving them from the Haditha Dam and nearby towns.
ISIS began an offensive to take control of Hit. Within days, ISIS militants controlled large parts of the city and the nearby town of Kubaysa, besieged the local police station and threatened a major air base nearby.
Ramadi is the center of the tribal resistance against ISIS in Anbar Province and the home of Ahmed Abu Risha, a prominent anti-ISIS leader. ISIS has repeatedly attacked the area and killed the provincial chief of police on Oct. 12.

Source: Institute for the Study of War

Watching as ISIS Attacks a Border Town

CITY OF KOBANI

Border

SYRIA

Mine fields

Turkish tanks

TURKEY

Turkish Kurds

watch the Islamist

assault to the city

while Turkish

tanks stand.

SYRIA

CITY OF KOBANI

Border

Mine fields

Turkish tank

TURKEY

Turkish Kurds watch the Islamist assault to the city while Turkish tanks stand.

Photograph by Umit Bektas/Reuters.

ISIS Battles Kurds Over Syrian Border Town

Source: Satellite image by DigitalGlobe, via Google Earth

Turkish armored units

enforced border crossing.

TURKEY

Mursitpinar

Minefields

Minefields

SYRIA

To Jerablus

A huge plume

rose in this area

Wednesday.

Black ISIS flag

visible on hilltop.

Kobani

Airstrikes in this area

have targeted tanks

and armed vehicles.

Five latest U.S.

airstrikes targeted areas

south of the city only.

1 mile

500 miles to Baghdad

Turkish armored units enforced border crossing.

Mursitpinar

TURKEY

Minefields

To Jarablus

SYRIA

A huge plume

rose in this area

Wednesday.

Black ISIS flag

visible on hilltop.

Kobani

Five latest U.S.

airstrikes targeted areas

south of the city only.

1 mile

Source: Satellite image by DigitalGlobe, via Google Earth

Amid Airstrikes Against ISIS, Refugees Flee Syria

Source: United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees

Turkey

843,779

Konya

Refugee camps

Tabriz

Adana

Iran

Aleppo

IRAQI

KURDISTAN

Raqqa

Mosul

Kirkuk

syria

Lebanon

1,185,275

Euphrates

ISIS-controlled areas

Beirut

Mediterranean Sea

Damascus

Baghdad

Iraq

215,303

as of Sept. 15

Tel Aviv

Amman

Najaf

Gaza

israel

Egypt

139,625

Jordan

615,792

saudi

arabia

Number of refugees

Cairo

Low

high

Refugee camps

NO. of refugees

Turkey

843,779

Low

high

Aleppo

Raqqa

syria

Lebanon

1,185,275

Damascus

Iraq

215,303

as of Sept. 15

israel

Egypt

139,625

Jordan

615,792

saudi

arabia

Source: United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees

Airstrikes in Iraq and Syria, Day-by-Day

Source: Based on Defense Department statements

Source: Based on Defense Department statements

The Air Campaign Against the Islamic State Moves to Syria

Sources: Defense Department; Institute for the Study of War

100 miles

TURKEY

Attack on

Khorasan group

in this area

Hasaka

IRAN

Mosul

IRAQI

KURDISTAN

Aleppo

Raqqa

Kirkuk

Deir al-Zour

Locations hit

by airstrikes

IRAQ

Euphrates

Abu Kamal

Tigris

SYRIA

LEBANON

Approximate

areas under full

Islamic State control

Damascus

Baghdad

Falluja

ISRAEL

JORDAN

TURKEY

100 miles

IRAQI

KURDISTAN

IRAN

Mosul

Hasaka

Aleppo

Erbil

Raqqa

Attack on Khorasan

group near this area

Kirkuk

IRAQ

Deir al-Zour

Locations hit

by airstrikes

Euphrates

Abu Kamal

Tigris

SYRIA

Approximate

areas under full

Islamic State control

LEBANON

Damascus

Baghdad

Falluja

Rutba

Attacks on

Khorasan

ISIS locations hit

by airstrikes

TURKEY

IRAN

IRAQI

KURDISTAN

Aleppo

Raqqa

IRAQ

Deir al-Zour

Homs

Tigris

SYRIA

Tigris

Euphrates

Baghdad

Damascus

100 miles

Sources: Defense Department; Institute for the Study of War

Some of the ISIS Locations Struck in Syria

Sources: Satellite images on left from DigitalGlobe, via Google Earth; images of targeted structures from the Defense Department

SYRIA

Command and Control American F-22 fighters hit this building, which officials said was used for communications and storing weapons.

500 FEET

SYRIA

Finance Center The building is in central Raqqa, the group’s de facto capital.

500 FEET

SYRIA

Storage This facility is near a major border crossing with Iraq.

500 FEET

500 FEET

SYRIA

Command and Control American F-22 fighters hit this building, which officials said was used for communications and storing weapons.

500 FEET

SYRIA

Finance Center The building is in central Raqqa, the group’s de facto capital.

500 FEET

SYRIA

Storage This facility is near a major border crossing with Iraq.

SYRIA

500 FEET

Command and Control American F-22 fighters hit this building, which officials said was used for communications and storing weapons.

SYRIA

500 FEET

Finance Center The building is in central Raqqa, the group’s de facto capital.

SYRIA

500 FEET

Storage This facility is near a major border crossing with Iraq.

Sources: Satellite images on left from DigitalGlobe, via Google Earth; images of targeted structures from the Defense Department

Strikes in Northern Iraq

Note: Strikes were not reported comprehensively day by day, so some may be missing from daily tallies.

Strikes Reported Each Day

Area of

detail

AuG. 8

IRAQ

Baghdad

KURDISH

AUTONOMOUS

REGION

Mosul Dam

Mosul

Mount Sinjar

AUG. 18

Erbil

0

15

Iraq

Kirkuk

Near Mount Sinjar

At least 13 strikes

Near Mosul Dam

At least 35 Strikes

Near Erbil

At least 20 Strikes

Strikes Reported Each Day

15

0

AUG. 18

Aug. 8

Area of detail

Baghdad

KURDISH

AUTONOMOUS

REGION

Mosul Dam

Mosul

Mount Sinjar

Erbil

Iraq

Near Mount Sinjar

At least 13 strikes

Near Erbil

At least 20 Strikes

Near Mosul Dam

At least 35 Strikes

Mount Sinjar

Thousands of Yazidi refugees were trapped on the mountain after fleeing Islamist fighters. Targets included:

Mosul Dam

American strikes allowed Kurdish fighters to regain the dam, which they lost two weeks ago. Targets included:

Erbil

Strikes in this area helped repel militants approaching the regional capital. Targets included:

Note: Strikes were not reported comprehensively day by day, so some may be missing from daily tallies.

A Closer Look At Mount Sinjar

Source: Vehicle locations from satellite imagery by DigitalGlobe via Amnesty International

SYRIA

IRAQ

NORTH

Red dots are vehicles visible in satellite imagery

About 13 miles

TO BORDER

Sinuni

ROADBLOCKS

Kursi

ABOUT 70 MILES

TO MOSUL

25 miles

Bara

Sinjar

Jaddala

Sinjar Mountains

Elevation 4,449 ft.

Area

visible

Area of

assessed

satellite

imagery

Mosul

IRAQ

Baghdad

ABOUT 250 MILES TO BAGHDAD

Area of assessed

satellite imagery

SYRIA

IRAQ

Sinjar

Red indicates

vehicles on mountain

Sinjar Mountains

Elevation 4,449 ft.

Source: Vehicle locations from satellite imagery by DigitalGlobe via Amnesty International

Iraqis Driven From Their Homes by ISIS

Note: The United Nations estimates one Iraqi family is equal to six individuals. Source:

January 1 to May 31

Over days, families, on average, were displaced daily.

Anbar Province

Months before it became something of a household name, ISIS took control of much of Anbar Province, displacing an estimated 500,000 Iraqis.

June 1 to July 31

Over days, families, on average, were displaced daily.

Anbar Province

Another half-million Iraqis were displaced in June and July when ISIS captured Mosul and advanced south toward Baghdad.

August 1 to August 6

Over days, families, on average, were displaced daily.

Anbar Province

In early August, ISIS seized several towns under Kurdish control, displacing Yazidis, Christians and other religious minority groups. Although the United Nations says that the capture of Sinjar may have displaced that number is not yet included in the official data.

Note: The United Nations estimates one Iraqi family is equal to six individuals. Source:

U.S. Strikes Militants Near Erbil

Sources: American and Kurdish officials

Mosul

Islamist militants have controlled Iraq's second-largest city since June 10.

Mosul Dam

Captured by

militants on

Thursday.

ABOUT 150 MILES

TO BAGHDAD

Iraq

Mahmour

Bombed by American

jets on Friday.

Gwer

Bombed on Thursday.

About 40

miles TO

ERBIL

About 35

miles TO

ERBIL

Kalak

Historic citadel

of Erbil

United States Consulate

is in this neighborhood

Chammah

ERBIL

AIRPORT

Area

visible

Erbil

Erbil

Kurdish capital

IRAQ

Baghdad

NORTH

Mahmour

Bombed by

American jets

on Friday.

Gwer

Bombed on

Thursday.

Mosul

Islamist militants have

controlled Iraq's second-largest

city since June 10.

Mosul Dam

Captured by militants

on Thursday.

Iraq

About 40 miles

TO ERBIL

About 35 miles

TO ERBIL

Historic citadel

of Erbil

United States Consulate

is in this neighborhood

Area

visible

Erbil

Kurdish capital

Erbil

IRAQ

Baghdad

NORTH

Mahmour

Bombed by American

jets on Friday.

Mosul Dam

Captured by militants

on Thursday.

Gwer

Bombed on

Thursday.

Mosul

About 40 miles TO ERBIL

Erbil

Kurdish

capital

Iraq

NORTH

Sources: American and Kurdish officials

Iraq’s Tangle of Insurgent Groups

Click group names for more details.

Naqshbandia Order/J.R.T.N.

Baathist
Active in: Diyala, Salahuddin
ISIS relationship: Fighting
Established in 2007, the group's reputed leader was a high-ranking deputy in Saddam Hussein's regime. The group is believed to have initially assisted ISIS in its push south from Mosul.

1920 Revolution Brigades

Baathist
Active in: Diyala, Anbar
ISIS relationship: Fighting in some areas
Formed by disaffected Iraqi Army officers who were left without jobs after the Americans dissolved the military in 2003.

Islamic Army of Iraq

Salafist
Active in: Diyala, Salahuddin, Anbar
ISIS relationship: Periodic fighting
ISIS has targeted family members of the leadership of this group, which has long had a presence in Diyala and has been involved in past sectarian battles.

Mujahedeen Army

Salafist
Active in: Diyala, Salahuddin, Anbar
ISIS relationship: Truce
A nationalist Islamist group that advocates overthrowing the Iraqi government.

Khata'ib al-Mustapha

Salafist
Active in: Diyala
ISIS relationship: Truce
Islamic militants who fight against the government.

Army of Muhammad

Salafist
Active in: Anbar
ISIS relationship: Allies
Islamic militants who fight against the government.

Khata'ib Tawrat al-Ashreen

Anti-government Sunni Tribe
Active in: Diyala, Salahuddin
ISIS relationship: Truce
Sunni tribes opposed to the Iraqi government.

Ansar al-Islam/Ansar al-Sunna

Islamist Jihadist
Active in: Diyala
ISIS relationship: Fighting
An Al Qaeda-affiliated group that has led a number of deadly attacks in Iraq over the years.

Opportunity and Hazard for Iraq’s Kurds

Sources: Dr. M. Izady, Columbia University’s , , ,

Turkey

PREDOMINANTLY

KURDISH AREAS

Iran

Al Kasik

military base

Rabia

Aleppo

Mosul

Sinjar

Kirkuk

Syria

Tuz

Khurmatu

Leb.

Khanaqin

Kurdish autonomous region

Damascus

Baghdad

Iraq

JORDAN

Amman

Najaf

Turkey

PREDOMINANTLY

KURDISH AREAS

Iran

Al Kasik

military base

Rabia

Sinjar

Mosul

Syria

Kirkuk

Tuz

Khurmatu

Khanaqin

Kurdish autonomous region

Baghdad

Iraq

Najaf

Sources: Dr. M. Izady, Columbia University’s , , ,

Refugees From Two Countries in Turmoil

Source: United Nations

turkey

Most of the Syrians who have been displaced have fled to Jordan, Lebanon and Turkey. Nearly all of those fleeing to Iraq have gone to the Kurdish autonomous region.

iran

Mosul

Raqqa

Erbil

Aleppo

Kurdish

autonomous

region

Kirkuk

syria

lebanon

Damascus

Thousands of

refugees at

destination

Baghdad

iraq

ISRAEL

jordan

10

100

Saudi Arabia

turkey

iran

The rapid advance of Sunni militants from Mosul toward Baghdad displaced an estimated 500,000 Iraqis in recent weeks, adding to the hundreds of thousands displaced earlier this year. Many have gone to the already crowded camps in the Kurdish autonomous region.

Mosul

Raqqa

Erbil

Aleppo

Kirkuk

syria

leb.

Damascus

iraq

Baghdad

jordan

Amman

ISRAEL

Saudi Arabia

THOUSANDS OF REFUGEES

AT DESTINATION

10

100

Mosul

Aleppo

syria

Kurdish

autonomous

region

Leb.

Damascus

Baghdad

iraq

jordan

Most of the Syrians who have been displaced have fled to Jordan, Lebanon and Turkey. Nearly all of those fleeing to Iraq have gone to the Kurdish autonomous region.

turkey

Mosul

Erbil

Aleppo

Kirkuk

syria

leb.

Damascus

iraq

Baghdad

jordan

The rapid advance of Sunni militants from Mosul toward Baghdad displaced an estimated 500,000 Iraqis in recent weeks, adding to the hundreds of thousands displaced earlier this year. Many have gone to the already crowded camps in the Kurdish autonomous region.

Source: United Nations

How Syria and Iraq’s Borders Evolved

Sources: Rand, McNally & Co. World Atlas (1911 Ottoman Empire map); United Kingdom National Archives (Sykes-Picot); Dr. M. Izady, Columbia University’s (religious and ethnic map)

Ottoman provincial borders

Current borders

Adana

Turkey

Persia

Aleppo

Aleppo

Nicosia

Mosul

Iran

Zor

Beirut

Syria

Lebanon

Beirut

Lebanon

Damascus

Baghdad

Syria

Iraq

Beirut

Baghdad

Tel Aviv

Amman

Jerusalem

Israel

Basra

Jordan

Jerusalem

Saudi Arabia

Kuwait

Kuwait

Ottoman provincial borders

Current borders

Turkey

Adana

Persia

Aleppo

Aleppo

Mosul

Zor

Iran

Beirut

Syria

Lebanon

Lebanon

Damascus

Baghdad

Syria

Beirut

Baghdad

Iraq

Tel Aviv

Israel

Basra

Jerusalem

Saudi Arabia

Sykes-Picot

Current borders

Turkey

French Control

Aleppo

Independent Arab states

under French influence

Nicosia

Iran

Syria

Lebanon

British

Control

Beirut

Damascus

Iraq

Independent

Arab states under

British influence

International

Zone

Baghdad

Tel Aviv

Amman

British Control

Jerusalem

Israel

Jordan

Saudi Arabia

Kuwait

Kuwait

Sykes-Picot

Current borders

Turkey

French

Control

Independent Arab states

under French influence

Iran

Syria

British

Control

Damascus

Baghdad

Iraq

International

Zone

Independent

Arab states under

British influence

British

Control

Israel

Jordan

Saudi Arabia

Shiite

Sunni

Shiite/Sunni mixed

Other religions

Kurdish

Turkey

Aleppo

Nicosia

Iran

Syria

Lebanon

Beirut

Damascus

Iraq

Baghdad

Tel Aviv

Amman

Jerusalem

Israel

Jordan

Saudi Arabia

Kuwait

Kuwait

Shiite

Sunni

Shiite/Sunni mixed

Other religions

Kurdish

Turkey

Aleppo

Iran

Syria

Lebanon

Damascus

Baghdad

Iraq

Tel Aviv

Israel

Jordan

Saudi Arabia

Ottoman Empire

Before WWI, the Middle East was divided into several administrative provinces under the Ottoman Empire. Modern Iraq is roughly made up of the Ottoman provinces of Mosul, Baghdad, and Basra.

Sykes-Picot Agreement

In 1916, Mark Sykes and François Georges-Picot, British and French diplomats, secretly drew the first map to divide up the Ottoman Empire, beginning a series of border negotiations that led to the establishment of British and French mandates in 1920.

Religious and Ethnic Regions Today

Iraq's current boundaries bring together different, often adversarial, groups under one mixed national identity that has been strained by conflict. Still, if Iraq were to split, partition would not be so simple as drawing new borders along religious or ethnic lines.

Sources: Rand, McNally & Co. World Atlas (1911 Ottoman Empire map); United Kingdom National Archives (Sykes-Picot); Dr. M. Izady, Columbia University’s (religious and ethnic map)

Who Controls the Border Crossings?

Sources: , ,


TO DAMASCUS

TO ALEPPO

TURKEY

Tanf

Controlled by

Syrian government

SYRIA

Euphrates

River

JORDAN

Yaroubia

Syrian

Kurdish

forces

Karamah

Jordanian

Army

SYRIAN

DESERT

Waleed

Unclear

Trebil

Unclear

Bukamal

ISIS

WESTERN

BORDER

OF IRAQ

Rabia

Iraqi Kurdish

pesh merga

Qaim

ISIS

SYRIA

Area of

detail

iraq

NORTH

IRAQ

JORDAN

30 MILES

TO BAGHDAD

Area of

detail

SYRIA

WESTERN

BORDER

OF IRAQ

IRAQ

JORDAN

Yaroubia

Controlled by

Syrian Kurdish forces

Rabia

Iraqi Kurdish

pesh merga

iraq

SYRIA

Euphrates

River

TO ALEPPO

Bukamal

ISIS

Qaim

ISIS

SYRIAN

DESERT

TO BAGHDAD

Tanf

Syrian

government

Waleed

Unclear

TO

DAMASCUS

Trebil

Unclear

Karamah

Jordanian Army

NORTH

30 MILES

JORDAN

Syria and
Jordan

Karamah


The Jordanian army has increased security at the crossing, which remains open, but with little traffic.

Tanf

Bukamal


A local agreement between ISIS and the Nusra Front on June 25 effectively placed Bukamal under ISIS control. By June 30, ISIS had wrested full control of the town and border crossing.

Yaroubia


This side is controlled by Syrian Kurdish forces affiliated with a party that is engaged in a power struggle with Iraqi Kurdish leaders.

Iraq

Trebil


ISIS took this crossing on June 22 after Iraqi forces fled, but recent reports of vehicle traffic from Jordan indicate that the crossing may be back the hands of the government.

Waleed


ISIS took this crossing on June 22. The Iraqi government said that it is back in control of the crossing, but this could not be confirmed.

Qaim


ISIS took control of the municipal council, customs office, border crossing and Iraqi police station, increasing its already significant presence on the main route between Baghdad and Aleppo. The Iraqi government said it abandoned the crossing in a strategic move to concentrate forces in Baghdad.

Rabia


Kurdish pesh merga forces secured this crossing on June 10 immediately following the fall of Mosul.

Sources: , ,

Consequences of Sectarian Violence on Baghdad’s Neighborhoods

Source: Dr. M. Izady, Columbia University’s


2003

Sadr

City

Kadhimiya

Adhamiya

BAGHDAD

Green Zone

Baghdad

Airport

Tigris River

2 miles

2009

Adhamiya

Huriya

BAGHDAD

Green Zone

Amiriya

Baghdad

Airport

Tigris River

2 miles

2003: Before the Invasion

Before the American invasion, Baghdad’s major sectarian groups lived mostly side by side in mixed neighborhoods. The city’s Shiite and Sunni populations were roughly equal, according to Juan Cole, a University of Michigan professor and Middle East expert.

2009: Violence Fuels Segregation

Sectarian violence exploded in 2006. Families living in areas where another sect was predominant were threatened with violence if they did not move. By 2009 Shiites were a majority, with Sunnis reduced to about 10 percent to 15 percent of the population.

Kadhimiya, a historically Shiite neighborhood, is home to a sacred Shiite shrine.

Adhamiya, a historically Sunni neighborhood, contains the Abu Hanifa Mosque, a Sunni landmark.

• The Green Zone became the heavily fortified center of American operations during the occupation.

Sadr City was the center of the insurgent Mahdi Army, led by the Shiite cleric Moktada al-Sadr.

Huriya was transformed in 2006 when the Mahdi Army pushed out hundreds of families in a brutal spasm of sectarian cleansing.

• More than 8,000 displaced families relocated to Amiriya, the neighborhood where the Sunni Awakening began in Baghdad.

Adhamiya, a Sunni island in Shiite east Baghdad, was walled and restricted along with other neighborhoods in 2007 for security.

• Neighborhoods east of the Tigris River are generally more densely populated than areas to the west.

2003

Sadr

City

Kadhimiya

Adhamiya

BAGHDAD

Green Zone

Baghdad

Airport

Tigris River

2 miles

2003: Before the Invasion

Before the American invasion, Baghdad’s major sectarian groups lived mostly side by side in mixed neighborhoods. The city’s Shiite and Sunni populations were roughly equal, according to Juan Cole, a University of Michigan professor and Middle East expert.

Kadhimiya, a historically Shiite neighborhood, is home to a sacred Shiite shrine.

Adhamiya, a historically Sunni neighborhood, contains the Abu Hanifa Mosque, a Sunni landmark.

• The Green Zone became the heavily fortified center of American operations during the occupation.

Sadr City was the center of the insurgent Mahdi Army, led by the Shiite cleric Moktada al-Sadr.

2009

Adhamiya

Huriya

BAGHDAD

Green Zone

Amiriya

Baghdad

Airport

Tigris River

2 miles

2009: Violence Fuels Segregation

Sectarian violence exploded in 2006. Families living in areas where another sect was predominant were threatened with violence if they did not move. By 2009 Shiites were a majority, with Sunnis reduced to about 10 percent to 15 percent of the population.

Huriya was transformed in 2006 when the Mahdi Army pushed out hundreds of families in a brutal spasm of sectarian cleansing.

• More than 8,000 displaced families relocated to Amiriya, the neighborhood where the Sunni Awakening began in Baghdad.

Adhamiya, a Sunni island in Shiite east Baghdad, was walled and restricted along with other neighborhoods in 2007 for security.

• Neighborhoods east of the Tigris River are generally more densely populated than areas to the west.

Source: Dr. M. Izady, Columbia University’s

Battle for the Baiji Oil Refinery

Source: Satellite image by NASA

ABOUT 100

MILES TO

MOSUL

ABOUT 50 MILES

TO KIRKUK

Power

plant

1

Tigris

River

Oil refinery

Employee

dormitories

Village

Employee

village

Village

Smoke plume

at 10:30 a.m.

Wednesday.

Baiji

ABOUT 115 MILES

TO BAGHDAD

1 MILE

1 MILE

Oil refinery

Power

plant

ABOUT 100

MILES TO

MOSUL

Employee

dormitories

Village

Employee

village

Tigris

River

Village

Baiji

Smoke plume

at 10:30 a.m.

Wednesday.

ABOUT 115 MILES

TO BAGHDAD

Source: Satellite image by NASA

Encroaching on Baghdad

Sources: ,

ABOUT 140 MILES

TO MOSUL

Miles from

Central Baghdad

ABOUT 80 MILES

TO KIRKUK

70

Adhaim

June 15

Samarra

JUNE 11, 13, 17

60

Al-Mutasim

JUNE 14

Dhuluiya

JUNE 12

50

Ishaqi

Muqdadiya

The Iraqi army retook control of Ishaqi and Muqdadiya on June 14. In Muqdadiya, a Shiite militia assisted the government forces.

40

Dujail

JUNE 14

30

Militants took control of several neighborhoods in Baquba on June 16 but were repulsed by security officers after a three-hour gun battle.

Baquba

June 16, 17

Tarmiyah

JUNE 11

20

Falluja and many towns in the western province of Anbar have been under ISIS control for about six months.

Tigris

River

10

At least five bomb attacks occurred in Baghdad, mainly in Shiite areas, in the week after the rebel group took Mosul.

Sadr City

Kadhimiya

Falluja

Bab al-Sheikh

Al-Bab Al-Sharqi

Baghdad

Saidiyah

Miles from

Central Baghdad

70

Adhaim

Samarra

60

Al-Mutasim

Dhuluiya

Muqdadiya

Ishaqi

40

Dujail

30

Baquba

Tarmiyah

20

10

Falluja

Baghdad

Several clashes occurred at the outskirts of Samarra, where Shiite militiamen have been sent to protect the Al-Askari Shrine.

The Iraqi army retook control of Ishaqi and Muqdadiya on June 14. In Muqdadiya, a Shiite militia assisted the government forces.

Militants took control of several neighborhoods in Baquba on June 16 but were repulsed by security officers after a three-hour gun battle. Later, 44 Sunni prisoners were killed in a government-controlled police station.

At least five bomb attacks occurred in Baghdad, mainly in Shiite areas, in the week after the rebel group took Mosul. The bodies of four young men were found shot on June 17 in a neighborhood controlled by Shiite militiamen.

Falluja and many towns in the western province of Anbar have been under ISIS control for about six months.

Sources: ,

Ten Years of ISIS Attacks in Iraq

Sources: Global Terrorism Database, National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism

100

80

60

Attacks That Could Be Attributed to ISIS

40

20

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Mosul

Kirkuk

Baghdad

IRAQ

Basra

2004

51 attacks

2005

58 attacks

2006

5 attacks

2007

56 attacks

2008

62 attacks

2009

78 attacks

2010

86 attacks

2011

34 attacks

2012

603 attacks

2013

419 attacks

100

80

Attacks That Could

Be Attributed to ISIS

60

40

20

’04

’05

’06

’07

’08

’09

’10

’11

’12

’13

Mosul

Baghdad

IRAQ

Basra

2004

51 attacks

2005

58 attacks

2006

5 attacks

2007

56 attacks

2008

62 attacks

2009

78 attacks

2010

86 attacks

2011

34 attacks

2012

603 attacks

2013

419 attacks

The group emerges as “Al Qaeda in Iraq” following the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq. Its goal is to provoke a civil war.

The group’s February 2006 bombing of one of Iraq's most revered Shiite shrines across the country. After merging with several other Sunni insurgent groups, it changes its name to the Islamic State of Iraq.

I.S.I. claims responsibility for more than 200 attacks, many in densely-populated areas around Baghdad.

The group is relatively quiet for most of 2011, but re-emerges after American troops withdraw from Iraq.

Seeing new opportunities for growth, I.S.I. enters Syria’s civil war and changes its name to reflect a new aim of establishing an Islamic religious state spanning Iraq and Syria. Its success in Syria .

The group emerges as “Al Qaeda in Iraq” following the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq. Its goal is to provoke a civil war.

The group’s February 2006 bombing of one of Iraq's most revered Shiite shrines across the country. After merging with several other Sunni insurgent groups, it changes its name to the Islamic State of Iraq.

I.S.I. claims responsibility for more than 200 attacks, many in densely-populated areas around Baghdad.

The group is relatively quiet for most of 2011, but re-emerges after American troops withdraw from Iraq.

Seeing new opportunities for growth, I.S.I. enters Syria’s civil war and changes its name to reflect a new aim of establishing an Islamic religious state spanning Iraq and Syria. Its success in Syria .

The group emerges as “Al Qaeda in Iraq” following the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq. Its goal is to provoke a civil war.

The group’s February 2006 bombing of one of Iraq's most revered Shiite shrines across the country. After merging with several other Sunni insurgent groups, it changes its name to the Islamic State of Iraq.

I.S.I. claims responsibility for more than 200 attacks, many in densely-populated areas around Baghdad.

The group is relatively quiet for most of 2011, but re-emerges after American troops withdraw from Iraq.

Seeing new opportunities for growth, I.S.I. enters Syria’s civil war and changes its name to reflect a new aim of establishing an Islamic religious state spanning Iraq and Syria. Its success in Syria .

The group emerges as “Al Qaeda in Iraq” following the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq. Its goal is to provoke a civil war. The group’s February 2006 bombing of one of Iraq's most revered Shiite shrines across the country. After merging with several other Sunni insurgent groups, it changes its name to the Islamic State of Iraq. I.S.I. claims responsibility for more than 200 attacks, many in densely-populated areas around Baghdad. The group is relatively quiet for most of 2011, but re-emerges after American troops withdraw from Iraq. Seeing new opportunities for growth, I.S.I. enters Syria’s civil war and changes its name to reflect a new aim of establishing an Islamic religious state spanning Iraq and Syria. Its success in Syria .
Note: Before 2011, less information was available on who was responsible for attacks, so the number of ISIS attacks from 2004 to 2010 may be undercounted.

Sources: Global Terrorism Database, National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism

A Week of Rapid Advances After Taking Mosul

Mosul

Area of

detail

Tikrit

June 13

June 10

Mosul captured

Baghdad

Iraq

Jalawla

Kirkuk

Sadiyah

June 11

Tikrit

captured

Basra

June 12

Dhuluiya captured

June 11-12

Samarra

Tigris R.

About 110 miles

Attacks in

the days after

Mosul captured

30

June 11

Parts of Baiji

captured

20

30

Baghdad

Ishaki   Dujail

June 14

Taji

Lake Tharthar

Falluja

Ramadi

Euphrates R.

After capturing Mosul, Tikrit and parts of a refinery in Baiji, insurgents attacked Samarra, where Shiite militias helped pro-government forces. Then, they seized Jalawla and Sadiyah but were forced back by government troops backed by Kurdish forces. They continued their moves south by Ishaki and Dujail.

June 10

Mosul

captured

Area of

detail

Mosul

Tikrit

Iraq

Baghdad

Basra

About

110

miles

Kirkuk

Tigris R.

Attacks in

the days after

Mosul captured

June 11

Parts of Baiji

captured

30

June 11

Tikrit captured

June 13

Jalawla

30

June 11-12

Samarra attacked

June 12

Dhuluiya

captured

Sadiyah

20

June 14

Ishaki

Lake

Tharthar

Dujail

Taji

Euphrates R.

Ramadi

Baghdad

Falluja

June 10

Mosul

captured

June 11-12

Samarra

attacked

June 12

Dhuluiya

captured

June 13

Jalawla and

Sadiyah

attacked

June 14

Ishaki and

Dujail

attacked

June 11

Parts of

Baiji captured

June 11

Tikrit

captured

Kirkuk

Tigris R.

20

30

About 110 miles

30

Attacks in

the days after

Mosul captured

Baghdad

Taji

Falluja

Lake Tharthar

Mosul

Area of

detail

Ramadi

Tikrit

Euphrates R.

Baghdad

Iraq

Najaf

Basra

After capturing Mosul, Tikrit and parts of a refinery in Baiji, insurgents attacked Samarra, where Shiite militias helped pro-government forces. Then, they seized Jalawla and Sadiyah but were forced back by government troops backed by Kurdish forces. They continued their moves south by Ishaki and Dujail.

What the Militants Want: A Caliphate Across Syria and Iraq

Source: “The Islamic State in Iraq Returns to Diyala” by Jessica Lewis, Institute for the Study of War

turkey

Hasakah

Mosul

Erbil

Aleppo

Raqqa

Kirkuk

Deir al-Zour

iran

Baiji

syria

Tikrit

Homs

Jalawla

lebanon

Samarra

Dhuluiya

Damascus

iraq

Baghdad

israel

saudi

arabia

jordan

kuwait

turkey

Hasakah

Mosul

Aleppo

Kirkuk

syria

iran

Tikrit

Homs

leb.

Samarra

Damascus

Baghdad

iraq

israel

saudi

arabia

jordan

kuwait

Source: “The Islamic State in Iraq Returns to Diyala” by Jessica Lewis, Institute for the Study of War

Attacks Follow Sectarian Lines

Source: Dr. M. Izady, Columbia University’s

Mosul

Kirkuk

Baiji

Tikrit

Dhuluiyah

Samarra

Ramadi

Baghdad

Iraq

Falluja

Tigris

Euphrates River

Basra

50 miles

Source: Dr. M. Izady, Columbia University’s

Iraqi Cities, Then and Now

Mosul
Now: In perhaps the most stunning recent development, Sunni militants drove Iraqi military forces out of Mosul on June 10, forcing a half-million residents to flee the city. Iraqi soldiers reportedly dropped their weapons and donned civilian clothing to escape ISIS insurgents.
Mosul
Falluja
Now: Sunni militants seized Falluja’s primary municipal buildings on Jan. 3. The takeover came as an early and significant victory for the group, initiating a slew of attacks south of the city.
Falluja
Tikrit
Now: Tikrit fell to ISIS insurgents on June 11, clearing a path for them to march on to Baiji, home to one of Iraq’s foremost oil-refining operations. After taking the city in less than a day, militants continued the fight just south, in Samarra.
Tikrit
Samarra
Now: After an initial attack on June 5, ISIS insurgents have now positioned themselves just miles away from Samarra. It is unclear whether they are capable of capturing the city in the coming days, but the Shiite shrine makes it a volatile target.
Samarra

ISIS’ Dark Oil Trade

Iraq’s Factions and Their Goals

ISIS' Goals and Tactics Worldwide

Uneasy Allies in the Fight Against ISIS

Reporting from Iraq and Jordan by Tim Arango, Suadad Al-Salhy, C.J. Chivers, Ben Hubbard, Rod Nordland and Alissa Rubin

By Sarah Almukhtar, Jeremy Ashkenas, Joe Burgess, Jennifer Daniel, Matthew Ericson, Ford Fessenden, K.K. Rebecca Lai, Bill Marsh, Haeyoun Park, Nilkanth Patel, Archie Tse, Tim Wallace, Derek Watkins, Jeremy White and Karen Yourish

The army headquarters for the operation are situated at a campus building not far from the front line with ISIS — though here, front line is a relative term. Eight mortar tubes were set up around the headquarters to provide defense, and they were pointing not just south toward the center of Tikrit, but also to the north and northeast.

Those mortars were all fired relatively frequently Saturday and Sunday, their shots alternating with the ground-shaking blasts of bombs being dropped from time to time by coalition aircraft.

Lt. Gen. Abdul al-Wahab al-Saadi, the commander of the Tikrit offensive, said that while the Iraqi military’s positions around the city had not changed significantly, special operations forces and elite police units were carrying out reconnaissance in force into the city and had penetrated to within 600 yards of the government complex in the city center.

He said the going had been slow because at first Iraqi forces wanted to leave space for civilians to flee the city, and then wanted to proceed in a way that kept casualties among the military and its allied Shiite militias as low as possible.

Despite weeks of fighting, he insisted that the pro-government forces had sustained few fatalities, and estimated that ISIS had 450 to 750 fighters left in the city, and had lost an equal number killed.

Shiite militias were losing about an average of eight fighters a day killed, according to cemetery workers in Najaf, where most Shiite martyrs are buried. While that was a nationwide estimate, most of them would have been fighting in Salahuddin Province.

But Wafiq al-Hashemi, director of the Iraqi Group for Strategic Studies, an independent research organization that often provides advice to the Iraqi government, said his estimates of ISIS fighters still active in Tikrit were in the range of 2,000 to 3,000. He also said that not only did ISIS still dominate the 20-square-mile area between Tikrit University and Ouja, but that the Iraqi military still had not succeeded in taking control of Highway 1 north of Tikrit, between Tikrit and Mosul, where ISIS has its major base in .

The militants in Tikrit have been able to keep using that supply line to the north even though they are surrounded within the city, using tunnels to evade government lines and keep access to the road.

“The government cannot do it unless the international alliance keeps up these airstrikes,” he said.

According to Gen. Lloyd Austin, who as head of the United States Central Command is in overall charge of the coalition in Iraq and Syria, the Iraqi military has about 4,000 troops under its command in Tikrit — far less than the 30,000 figure Iraqi officials had cited, although that included militia forces as well.

He insisted that the Shiite militias were not involved in the Tikrit battle any longer, after the American military told congressional leaders last week that it had agreed to support Iraqi operations in Tikrit with airstrikes only after being assured that Shiite militias, many of them with Iranian advisers, had been .

There was considerable confusion in Tikrit, however, over the new terms of engagement. While some of the militiamen said they would pull out of the fight, many others could be seen on the front lines of it. In addition, , officially known as the popular mobilization forces, were seen arriving in significant numbers in Tikrit on Saturday and Sunday.

However, Iranian advisers who had been working with some of the militias, in particular, have no longer been reported on the battlefields around Tikrit and elsewhere in Salahuddin Province.

“The popular mobilization did not withdraw, they are still here,” General Saadi, who is in overall charge of the Tikrit offensive, said in an interview over the weekend. “Some of them were sent to do different duties inside our area of operation.”

None of them, however, were removed from the battle when the coalition began bombing, the general insisted. “The people who are here with us are still here, they didn’t leave, some were just moved to another place.”

General Saadi said that while no military wants to be dependent on militias and irregular forces, Iraq had no choice. “If we were a complete army I would say no, but we need the popular mobilization forces. The battle requires them to be with us.”

On Sunday, about 60 Shiite fighters arrived at General Saadi’s headquarters from the Shiite heartland around Karbala as part of a militia called Qataba Imam Ali, wearing black uniforms with body armor and carrying a mixture of light and heavy weapons.

Their commander was Lt. Col. Salim Mizher, who said his men were eager to join the fight. But when an Iraqi officer, Brig. Gen. Abbas Khudair, explained that the militiamen were being incorporated into the army and would not operate independently, answering to Iraqi generals, Colonel Mizher objected.

“We answer to Sheikh Maithan and no other person,” he said, naming one of the militia’s religious leaders.

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